For the first time in recent memory, eight wins may prove to be enough to get you into Gippsland league finals. Although Warragul, Sale and Wonthaggi will all lose more games than they will win this season, one of those three will be in the top five by the end of the weekend and will be preparing for a finals series. The calculations are simple if not all the more bewildering when you take into account their numeric qualities. For the Gulls, Magpies and Power this is what has to happen for them in order to make finals:
Warragul: A win over Maffra will make it mathematically impossible for the Gulls to miss out. Should they lose they will have to rely on both Wonthaggi and Sale losing.
Sale: A win by Sale over Moe will see the Magpies in on percentage, provided Warragul and Wonthaggi lose.
Wonthaggi: A win over Bairnsdale and a loss to Sale and Warragul will see the Power rise from seventh to fifth.
Here is where it gets interesting: should both Sale and Wonthaggi win and Warragul lose, then it will come down to percentage as all three teams equal will be on 32 points. Because of this percentage , if Wonthaggi are able to win by more than 39 points at their home ground, then they will go through, but should they happen to fall short of this margin – Sale will be the ones granted access.
Of all possibilities the most likely to occur would probably be Wonthaggi to trounce Bairnsdale, therefore giving them an unlikely run into the finals.
Other matches across the league will not matter all that much in the wash up, as Maffra and Traralgon will lock horns in the first week of the finals, after the Maroons should make amends for their last effort against Morwell this week. Leongatha will also be looking to take out the minor premiership in style, with a big win over Drouin, who will play off in their first finals series since 2011.